Archive for March, 2007

How to Change the World in 10 Easy Steps

Sharon March 6th, 2007

I have recently been told in email that some people read me because I’m a “sweet natured mother who cares about the earth and her children” and that I “appeal to people’s better nature.” So if that’s the case, and that’s why you read this blog, I want to suggest that you take a break and go read something else.. Re-read my piece on Esther and how we can all change the world, or pick up a nice, sustaining novel. In fact, I beg of you, avert your eyes! Because by the time you finish this, you will think I’m one Machiavellian bitch, someone who could probably have dated Karl Rove. And you probably will want to go read someone nicer and fuzzier. I have no wish to disillusion you.

The truth is that I am a mother who cares about the earth and her children (too many of my friends and family read this blog for me to even try and get away with “sweet natured” ;-) , and I do truly and sincerely believe that we can change the world and that we should. I also am extremely practical, which is a term I prefer over the laden word, “Machiavellian.” But it means much the same – as my sister once said to me, “Sharon, you are surprisingly good with a carrot, and not too bad with a stick.” As for bitch, well, depends on who you ask, I guess. And as for Karl Rove – we’re too far apart in age, I fear, but if we were closer, I will note that I did date a whole lot of debate geeks over the year, many of them as unattractive as Karl Rove, so it isn’t out of the question. I will simply note that I have little doubt that if I had, Karl would be a leftist serving the Gore Presidency ;-) . Practical is powerful.

Because I am not a nice girl, or maybe not merely a nice girl, I feel that I should point out that the peak oil movement and the climate change movement are losing the race to plan the future, and to a large degree it is because we are refusing to be practical, also known as Machiavellian. We tend to think that practical tactics are immoral tactics. And, like all high minded people, we’re getting our asses kicked by the low minded ones. Since I am not all that nice, I have no trouble with practical techniques of moving public opinion in the ways I think are wise, provided I am telling the truth. The good thing is that I don’t have to lie – the other side of these issues has to lie, but I don’t – I have the truth on my side, along with a firm taste for low culture and low tactics, within certain parameters. Personally, I think we should all get much more practical, very quickly.

Because while the world may be becoming aware of peak oil (Bill Clinton, for example) and climate change, slowly, slowly, slowly (I suspect 8% drops in Ghawar production will help a little with that), but they are united in their failure to understand what is needed, and what solutions are possible. The “technology will save us and enable us to live in precisely the same way, only with pluggable hybrids and ethanol furnaces” message is getting through – and it is a cornucopian lie. As Joseph Romm points out in _Hell and High Water_ in the last 30 years, virtually nothing has changed about the basic sources of our energy or the ways we use it, and it will take decades, if it is even possible, to make widespread, fundamental technological change filter down across the industrialized world. And we don’t have decades – we don’t have decades to reduce carbon emissions and we don’t have decades of cheap oil. The odds are good the world has peaked – if not, the moment will come very soon, and the day at which prices rise enough to really hurt us is not far away.

We who think about it know that while there are technologies that can help us, the simplest answer is often the best one – in this case, the only one. As the UK is forced to acknowledge that it will fail to meet its own self-imposed carbon cutting goals, the rest of the world needs to be forced to admit that the basic unit of currency for dealing with peak oil and climate change is NOT BURNING IT – that is, turning things off, and getting rid of them. And the basic project of peak oil and climate change is adapting our infrastructure to dealing with life turned off and gotten rid of. Now many people fear this outcome so deeply that they are willing to destroy all human life rather than face it. So our task is to reassure them, to offer up a vision and alternative to the choice between hell and hell, and point out that the life without that stuff is not a bad one. We need to tell that story – yes, we can work on technology too. But first we need to tell the basic story that you don’t have to go shopping all the time, you don’t need that much stuff, you can turn off the appliances and get out in the garden – and it will be ok. If we don’t get this message out, we will lose in the most literal sense – we will die. Our kids will die. Our grandkids will die. This is losing. And I personally don’t much give a shit if I use low tactics (within reason) to keep that outcome from happening. I’m willing to go to hell for using propaganda – better than going from not using it and letting the world burn.

That’s because the opposition is on message and way, way ahead. “Trust us,” say BP, Shell and Exxon – “We have your interests at heart.” “Trust us,” say the idiots who pervert science and lie like rugs in the Bush administration – “Climate change can’t hurt us. Don’t look at the NASA scientists, read this nice novel by a right wing idiot. He’s so smart we didn’t even have to change his data for him!” And always the message is “we just need good new technologies.” Well guess what – technology doesn’t work like that – you don’t put in a coin and get out a prize. Some things work, some things don’t – remember how superconductors were going to revolutionize our technology? Got one in your fridge? How hydrogen cars have been just around the corner for a decade and more? Well, they are just as far around the corner now. How fusion was any minute now – 30 years ago?

Now it is true that we have done this twice – we made it to the moon, we built nuclear bombs. But the nuclear bombs took something we don’t like to admit we once had – a centrally planned, tightly managed economy. Yup, the US was once as centrally planned as the Soviet Union – we had rationing, farmers were told what to plant and when to plant it, clothing manufacturers were told what kinds of clothing they could offer, people were told what they could waste and penalized for it. We had black markets and price stabilization, and manufacturing was told what to make and where to bring it and at what price they could sell it. Niels Bohr said that the only way we could make the bomb was to turn the entire country into a factory – and we did. The whole nation worked together on one goal, and used all its resources towards that goal – as opposed to the way we operate now. We may yet do this again – but that too requires that we lay an intellectual and propaganda foundation.

The Hirsh report, commissioned by the DOE in 2004, found that the only way we could fix peak oil, if we had two decades before peak, was with an “unprecedented” devotion of national energies and resources to both conservation and research. World War II scale was mentioned repeatedly. And if peak oil was closer, the statement was that we probably couldn’t avoid major problems, including a massive change in the nature of our economy. Well, it turns out that if you look at Canterell in Mexico (double digit declines), Saudi Arabia (8% down), and the North Sea, all the big oil fields are not only declining, but crashing. OPEC announced a “voluntary” 3% cut next year. Hmmm…. The US’s answer was pretty much “NOOOOO!” – that is, we need all the oil they can burn. But there’s never going to be as much of it, in all likelihood. The odds are very good we don’t have anything like 20 years. We may need a WWII style economy to power *Down* – but we can’t let the current assholes decide who gets screwed – we need to take control of the discourse, of the why and how, not just at the high level, a la Heinberg’s Oil Depletion Protocol, b
ut at the low level, at the practical, girl and guy on the street level, so that when the time comes, they are on our side. Because all the protocols on the planet won’t help if ordinary folk don’t buy it.

Meanwhile the news from climate change gets worse and worse – all the solutions except “don’t burn the damned carbon in the first place” – pretty much seem contingent on keeping atmospheric temperatures from rising – that is, if we want to sequester carbon in the oceans, the soil or the trees, we have to keep world temperatures down, because every time they rise, we lose ground, and more carbon is released. The only way we can deal with the warming we’ve got now is simply to stop emitting so much carbon – RIGHT NOW. Climate change is happening much faster than people think – even than scientists think. British soils are starting to release carbon. The rainforests are catching fire *now* – in 2005, their total carbon release from wildfires caused by climate change induced drought was 41% of the total carbon. We’re very near not having any control at all of how the temperature goes. And, of course, it turns out tha our government plans to raise emissions by 20% over the next decade and a half.

Now that we know that peak oil is now or about 10 minutes from now, and that climate change is a disaster that is happening today, we need a massive change in policy – that is, we need millions of people in the US to come to a rapid consensus about what constitutes the American way of life and how we should change it to be compatible with our survival. We have no choice, because we have no time. But while Exxon and Shell are getting their message “we’re working on new technologies, don’t worry about the rising temps and the rolling blackouts” we’re not getting any useful or unified message out AT ALL. Seriously, people who have heard of and researched peak oil often look at it and think “if this is true, it is the end of the world, therefor I’m not going to think about it.” And they don’t. They look at climate change and see their government not acting and hear the counter messages, and they say, :”no reason to do anything differently” or they think it is the end of the world again, and they might as well have some beer. And we in the peak oil and climate change movements are not much helping this along. Oh, we’re calling for more studies and arranging public demonstrations, but we have no unified message, and no consensus. Some people are pushing a unified message – Heinberg and Campbell’s Oil Depletion Protocol is certainly better than nothing. But even that isn’t exactly catching the world on fire. Ultimately, we are plagued by the basic fact that even many of the people offering these alternatives don’t believe that large scale change is possible.

But, of course it is. You only have to look at human history to see that we’ve tried just about every form of change that there could be – we’ve held all property in common (no, I’m not talking about communists, but early Christians), we’ve had unfettered markets and fettered ones, we’ve believed kings were divine and overthrown the kings and instituted democracy, and then we’ve lied our way out of democracy. We’ve believed homosexuality was an abomination and we’ve let gay people get married (nope, not talking about Oklahoma and Massachusetts, but the medieval Catholic Church vs. the early Catholic church which had lovely rites for gay couples to marry with). We’ve changed everything we think and how we live so many times that I can’t count them all – we’ve had a billion revolutions, and we can have another. Yes, it would be radical, radical change. So what? So was the American revolution, the anti-colonialist movement, the worldwide women’s movement. All of those things took unthinkable things and made them real.

We will never be convinced of our capacity for change unless we shake off the big lie that we cannot – and it is a lie that is endemic to the peak oil and climate change communities in themselves. I’ve heard famous people on both sides say the same thing. George Monbiot wrote _Heat_ precisely because despite his involvement in the anti-globalization movement, he believes that the current civilization is non-negotiable, so he make the case that we should give over the power to control our shopping to the big-box stores, little as he may like it, because, after all, we can’t change. But when you take that assumption apart, and take it out of the equation, what you get is that our notions of what is possible are narrowing down our choices in ways that are not acceptable, and lead to untenable conclusions, like Monbiot’s claim that we have to give over power to the multi-nationals, because we can’t simply change shopping altogether. Bullshit – we can change what we choose to change. We will not be shopping during the apocalypse – we can tell people the truth – that less shopping and local economies are going to make you richer and better able to shop for what is made nearby than selling your soul to Walmart. If we tell them right, they’ll believe us – because it is true.

Right now, the cornucopians are talking revolution – a revolution of technology. And we are talking limitation, what is made possible by a kind of expedience and underestimation of human capacity. No wonder they’d rather listen to the cornucopians – they aren’t more appealing because of what they are saying – yes, we like to hear we can have what we want, of course, but we are willing to hear other things if the central message is that change is possible and it is joyful and good. Revolutions are first and foremost radical changes in our assumptions, and we need to get the heck over the big lie and start preparing for changing ours. We need a real movement, a movement of revolutionaries who believe in a better future. We can have it – we just have to change our thinking.

There are three elements to the belief that people won’t or can’t change, and they are all false. The first one is a slander of us. It is this: that we today are stupider, and lazier, more in love with our comforts, more selfish and less humane than people in the past. That’s one of the big ones – the “people won’t change until they have to” message ultimately argues that we value our comforts more than what is right, or what is just, or anything else. But, of course, look around you and you will find millions of examples of people choosing things against their personal interests in order to do what is right. Millions of people, for example, don’t tithe to their churches because they are more comfortable with less money. Millions of people don’t go on strange diets because they don’t really like chocolate. It is true we are bad at giving up our personal comforts in many cases, but it is also true that we encounter enormous opposition – an entire society and its advertising telling us we need these things, we can’t do without them. What is taken to be an inherent attachment to comfort is actually the machinations of advertising and the growth economy, and recognized as such, it can be resisted. We have done it before – think about the Montgomery Bus Boycott, for example, where thousands of people walked miles for more than a year at great personal cost to themselves. Well, despite the slander, we can all be just as courageous and honorable as those people. In fact, if we speak and live as though what we value is courage and honor, we will see much more of it.

Part of the problem is that free market economics has penetrated into our psychology in ways that are hard to resist even for people who resist the outward cloth of them. The idea that people act primarily in their own self-interest is pretty much false – even the wildly inaccurate accounts of human behavior in behavioral economics admit that. Sometimes we act in our self-interest in the narrowest sense, sometimes we act on it in the broadest, and sometimes we pursue other goals altogether. What we need to do is tell people, in a way that they are interested in and engaged by that their interests, and also their other moti
vations are best served by creating a radically different culture, and by looking at self interest differently. But we need to be persuasive – as persuasive as the powerful forces saying otherwise.

The second assumption inherent in our inability to change is that those of us who *have* begun to change our lives are somehow exceptional. I’ve written a whole post about this elsewhere on my blog, and I won’t reiterate it. But that is also a lie. I’m a regular person. I’m selfish and greedy, lazy and self-interested. I’m not better than my neighbors, or smarter or kinder or anything else than them. I am ordinary. And if one ordinary person, or 10 ordinary people, or the 1000 ordinary people who might read this blog (might as well go for the gusto) can change their lives, everyone else can to. If I am subject to the reason that minor declines in physical comfort have the possible solution of creating better things in the long term, so are other people. It is as simple as that. If you believe you are capable of change, unless you believe you are somehow special, than others must be too.

The final assumption that is widely made is that change can’t happen because we must bow to “realism” – and generally speaking, “realism” is the lowest common political denominator – that is, we can only hope to accomplish what is reasonable given today’s political parameters – nothing more is possible. But what is politically possible changes, often quite rapidly. One day it was possible for a British Queen to completely ignore her drama queen former daughter in law, the next day it was not, and people talked about the shaking of empire. One day it was possible, but not especially politically wise for a mayor of New York to let his cops shoot random black people on the street, the next day he was a hero and entitled to all the human sacrifices he wanted. One day Bush is a yutz whose Daddy bought him the presidency, the next day he’s a yutz whose nation stands behind him no matter how dumb.

And etc… Political circumstances change – and often rapidly. Being ready for the next change in political circumstances is a huge part of taking the initiative and moving the public.
And what is it that creates what is politically possible, anyway? Whether or not you live in a true democracy, or if you live as we do in one with a thin candy coating of democracy over a dark chocolate totalitarian filling, ultimately, the people have the power to determine what is politically possible. When they care about something, or decline to care, respond one way or another, they make political possibilities.

And how do people come to decide what political options they consider to be on the table – hmmm….well, through the shaping of public opinion, once called agitprop. Most people see the world in fairly superficial terms, except for the things of great interest to them – you and I are no different. My knowledge of whether Britney Spears is a skank or not is among the most superficial on earth. I am limited to the tiny impressions I have gathered by the sort of information that I can’t possibly avoid gathering no matter how desperately I try – and thus, I have an opinion on this subject (try and guess what it is ;-) , because my opinion has been molded by others. That’s how most people see peak oil and climate change – and we’re letting Exxon decide how they will feel about them when the stuff finally hits their consciousness.

On the issues I care about, I mold my own opinions, but people care about quite a range of things, and most of them don’t care that much about peak oil and climate change. On the other hand, they could be persuaded to care, and persuaded to assume, even from the most basic perception they could not avoid getting, to think highly of solutions that involved reserving resources for urgent things, devoting money and energy to recreating infrastructure, etc… What we would have to do is persuade them that a. it is necessary and b. that they should want to, for reasons that might vary from better food to less war to a more relaxed pace of life to patriotism to better sex. I think, without a single lie or misrepresentation I could compellingly argue that all of the above are logical results of cutting our consumption, changing our economy and changing what the American way of life is. I suspect many others could too.

Practical public relations, then, is the next big project for both peak oil and climate change. Thus far, people who have spoken for the most part have been scientists – very good, very smart scientists, but they have been, while wise, often a little boring. We cannot afford to be boring. We are telling the truth, and the lies that are being told are not boring – they are very carefully crafted. Time to compete. Better yet, time to win. Ultimately, everything is told in the form of stories. And good stories usually trump bad stories. The stories of fun writers trump the stories of not-so-fun writers. This is why James Kunstler writes for Rolling Stone and Matthew Simmons doesn’t, even though both are very smart. The future that face, and what we could accomplish makes a superb story – all the elements of edge-of-your seat fiction, survival against all odds, courage, self-sacrifice, nobility, honor, strength, love, heroism. We need to tell it that well, well enough that the stories that corporations and governments sell seem flat and dull by comparison. We can do this.

So I offer 10 strategies for how to win the peak oil and climate change PR battle and change our society and the world. This is not something I can do by myself – so some of you had better get to work on this stuff. I will point out that I have ethical issues with lying here, so that somewhat limits the possibilities for me, but not all that much. I recommend against lying, because it can come back to haunt you. Besides, we’re unlikely to be better at it than Karl Rove. Better we spend our time making him, and the rest of the voices look stupid. That’s not so hard.

Practical Suggestions for Changing the World

1. We need video – lots of it. This is not, sadly, one of my gifts, but there is no question that that’s how most of the world is accustomed to seeing things. We need to persuade people that what we are offering is better, prettier, nicer, cleaner, healthier, happier, more loving. We need video – I don’t mean YouTube video of people sitting in darkened rooms talking about peak oil, but agitprop video – inspiring music, beautiful images of what can be. People immediately think that giving up their comforts means living in a degraded, filthy hell. We’ve got to show them that isn’t true, and let them envision this as a better life. We need funny videos – anyone who saw the Massachusetts Gubenatorial “Head Up Their Asses” campaign ad last year knows that there is a lot of opportunity for good, smart, funny video out there. And there’s a lot out there for beauty – one of the things we are selling is a better life. We need to show pictures, still and moving, of people living better, being healthier, being happier. Sell it like a patent medicine, with testimony and pictures of what can be. If we don’t give people a “Morning in America” image of their own, of little Johnny walking down the street to pick up his eggs and fruit at his neighbor’s garden, and skipping home, people will be vulnerable to whatever stupid lies they are told that give them that dream. Beat them to it.

2. We need to make fun of the stupid people. When Exxon puts out an ad saying that they are our clean air experts, deface the fucking thing! Make fun of it. Tell us how much methane comes out of their asses and CO2 comes out their mouths. When the Bush administration says that ethanol will save us, we need to remix Bush lying and add nasty commentary. Every time they lie, we show them, and we call them liars to their faces. Throw pies at them. Paint horns on them. Make cartoons. We need a whole group of people devoted to mocking the lies being told to us – not just a rational debunking, or blog sarcasm, b
ut dead blunt, dry, funny, up-your-ass mock the idiots.

3. We need famous people. People trust familiar faces. Get ‘em moving. If Willie Nelson or Ed Begley Jr or Florence Henderson cares about peak oil, get their asses into some ads, dammit. Noble and brilliant as they are, Sir David King and Helena Norberg-Hodge aren’t going to get the masses going. If we can’t get famous people, get impersonators – they have to be cheaper. Make it funny – say “We believe the US government has the real Madonna in a Cuban Gulag. Here is a Madonna Impersonator to tell you just how to change a lightbulb.” Or get people who just look reassuring – I’ve seen enough aging hippies at the conferences to know there must be one out there who could grow a mustache and look like Wilfred Brimley, and there have to be 50 who look like Willie or John Mellencamp or someone. If you make music, write a song – not a bleak song of grief but one about how great it is to grow your garden and hang your laundry on the clothesline. The rest of us will save cash up to hire the Dixie chicks, but make your music video and put it out there. And dammit, grow those mustaches. David Crosby will do.

4. We need to get better about using the net to create buzz. We need peak oil myspace. We need to make it clear that all the cool kids care about peak oil. Peer pressure is good (this time). And remember the stupid, stupid, “Snakes on a Plane” thing – without the internet it would have been a mere contribution to whatever studio’s annual tax writeoff. Come up with a slogan, dammit. Do something funny – we’re too damned boring. I mean it – as was said before, so far, all I’ve come up with is naked peakers – you didn’t listen, so now I’m threatening. If you people out there who read this blog don’t get off your asses and come up with something funnier and smarter (how hard could that be?), I’m going to hunt down every famous peak oil related male on the earth and make them pose naked, and then I’m coming to your house and make you stare at them whether you like it or not. I mean it – I’m not trying to amuse anymore, I’m threatening every man and woman in the peak oil movement with pictures of Ken Deffeyes’ weenie. I will not let you avert your eyes. So if you wish to avert the tragedy of seeing these pasty men, get your butts in gear and do something funny, and make it public, and send it round the net.

5. We need good fiction. One of the ways that people envision the future is through books. We’ve got some sci fi out there, and there are a few good pieces written on the net, but we need our own Michael Crichton (may polar bears piss upon his grave). Where’s Barbara Kingsolver when you need her? Write your damned novels, people. Tell people what the future will look like, but most of all, what it *could* look like – no one will start dreaming to get to Mad Max – they want Little House on the Prarie. And we should give it to them – what is LHOP except a reminder that life was not hell without all the stuff we have (ok, don’t let them read _The Long Winter_) – we need a new LHOP, a new vision of a pastoral and lower consumption future, without all the crap. We need to sell it to children, and adults who read children’s books. And we need genre fiction – romance, Christian, children’s books. Again, all of this is how you tell the story folks.

6. We already have all the good iconography on our side – start using it. Speaking of LHOP, that’s ours. So is Norman Rockwell, and the World War II Victory Garden material. Ben Franklin and Thomas Jefferson are ours if we want them – we are recreating the Nation of Farmers that the founding fathers dreamed of. We get to use them whenever we want. We have the land girls, and Benny Goodman, Laura Ingalls Wilder (someone dust off Melissa Gilbert and get her into a long dress), we have our agrarian past, cute lambs, sexy dairy maids, half naked farmers stripped to the (sexy) waist, we have agricultural festivals and down home music, we have the country, and nostalgia, delicious home grown food, Mom, apple pie, happy kids running in fields, cute baby ducks – we have all the good images. They have smokestacks and George Bush’s face and trucks – but we’ve got the real cowboys. If we can’t beat them with what we’ve got, we’re not trying. But we have to take the iconography and make it ours.

7. We need sex. Sex sells. Use it. Ok, no one wants to see naked engineers, we all know that (I’m not kidding – I’m going to make you look at them if you don’t get busy!), but there are presumably a few good looking people out there in the peak oil movement. Most of what we are asking people to do is get sensuous – that is, get down in the warm soil, eat ripe fresh vegetables, spend more time in nature and less time at the mall. There is no reason in the sensual delights we are offering, while we show the young woman cheerfully hanging her laundry, while the song “Suds in the Bucket” plays in the background, that them who want to should be looking at her behind. I know, I’m a feminist, I’m not supposed to objectify women – but I’m also bisexual, and I like looking at women’s behinds sometimes too. Sue me. I don’t think that’s evil. I’m not suggesting she strip, or really that anyone do ;-) , but I am suggesting that if someone associates doing their laundry by hand or hanging it on the clothesline with nubility, great! I’m fine with the ass in question being a firm man’s too. Drugs and rock and roll are good too – I’ve been to two peak oil conferences now, and I’ve yet to see anyone dance, or even really drink. For cripes sake, the energy party may be giving out, but the people parties run on laughter, dance, music and beer. No wonder we aren’t filling the stands.

8. We need to invite more people into the club. I know I keep singing this song, but it is true. People who felt alienated from the peak oil movement listen to me because I’m not a 55 year old white guy. Now let us be fair – a lot of those 55 year old white guys know much more about peak oil than me, but there’s something about talking to your approximate peers, or at least your sex. We need a lot more people writing and talking and singing and making noise who don’t look like your average petroleum geologist. We need non-white people, and young people (the average age of peak oilers has to be close to 50), we need Christians to talk to religious Christians and Moms to talk to Moms and what have you. And we need to put a lot more of those people’s *faces* out there as the image of the movement, and their voice too. So if you aren’t a 55 year old guy from Texas, start talking, start writing, start a blog, make movies, stand up in your community – make yourself the face of peak oil (older guys from Texas can do it too, even if we’ve got your demographic covered ;-) . We need to talk in ways that other people can hear us, and go out looking for new, interesting voices. And then shove them up on the stage.

9. We need to be ready for the next crisis/opportunity, and we need to be ready to find the right person to lead. Our fuhrer squandered his chance to engage the American people. But a lot of people noticed that, and were looking for someone to be the voice of reason, to tell them what to do and where to go. Even if the leadership isn’t ready, we can be ready, we can have a unified voice that says, “this is what we need to hear from you, this is what you must say.” Because if enough call for that, our leaders will respond appropriately – if the stakes are high enough – if they know that we’ll cast them out on their asses if they don’t meet our needs. That is achievable – if we talk enough about what we should hear from leaders, those leaders will hear and obey. But we need a message, we need a unified message, and we need to be ready – because something bad will happen soon enough, sadly. And we need to look for better leaders, both as a nation or state, but also within the movement. It isn’t that the people who are there now aren’t wonderful – they are – but if we’re to galvanize ourselves into something more than a lose collection of the wor
ried, we need someone to inspire and help unify us and our ideas. Leaders are a strange thing. Most of them just trot along behind the crowd, hoping to catch up and look like they were directing traffic. Every once in a while, someone who is truly visionary, imaginative, powerful comes forward and does lead – and if we see that person coming, don’t forget to grab them. Because that’s what peak oil and climate change need most right now – is a voice that can inspire, a voice that can lead, a voice attached to a mind that can see the future. We’re still waiting for that voice – and who knows, that voice may not realize s/he’s the right person for the job. Keep your eyes out.

10. Peak oil and climate change are justice movements. If you want to get regular folk out into the street, angry and outraged, we need to draw the lines between the energy we burn and the people that hurts. We need to point to the hungry people, and the displaced people, and we need to make it clear that justice for those people is what matters here. Every successful people’s movement has been at its root about justice. We need to show people how peak oil and climate change hurt them, and WHO is doing the hurting. We need to point fingers at the folks who have blown this off, and show everyday people who will suffer and who profits. We need to make it as clear as this – this is about who eats, who drinks, who lives, who dies. We will never get people to the streets and to congress based on a movement that is about oil – we will only ever get them there if we draw the connection between JUSTICE and these issues. And we don’t have to tell a single lie for that. We need to take our lessons from the WTO protests and the civil rights movement – we need to teach the people who are most vulnerable here – the poor, women, the elderly and non-white people just how vulnerable they are about to be and make them angry enough to take to the streets demanding justice. We need to connect the dots – over and over and over as clearly as possible – that peak oil and climate change mean poverty and suffering, hunger and diminished opportunity – and we need to do that fast. Enough with depletion rates, yes, they matter, yes, they are important. But what people need to know is this – this is a human rights exercise. Our right to live, our right to a future.

I know that there are people reading this blog. I swear, I’m going to find you and make you look at Richard Heinberg’s buttocks unless you get moving and start saving the world. I know you are out there. Me, I’m in here, reading my copy of _The Prince_.

Sharon

100 more things you can do to get ready for peak oil…

Sharon March 5th, 2007

Once, long ago, I wrote a list of 100 things you could do to get ready for peak oil, and it has had some airplay. Here’s another hundred, or at least Part I of II.

http://groovygreen.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=347&Itemid=57

The second part will be up later in the week.

The original list, if you haven’t seen it is at www.ourvictoryathome.com

Sharon

Getting Over the Cash and Carry Mentality

Sharon March 4th, 2007

If there is one great truth in American society it is this: you can buy your way out of almost anything. Other than a few things that will land you in jail even if you are rich (and let us be honest, there are no absolutes here – even if not universal, it is *possible* to buy your way out of almost anything), we tend to look for solutions that involve buying things.

- Having trouble with your marriage? Take a vacation! Pay a counselor!
- Don’t want to eat pesticides? Buy organic food!
- Unhappy about contaminated water? Don’t protest – buy bottled!
- Indebted? Buy a book about how to get out!
- Worried about Peak Oil? Look around at all the things there are to buy! Got a crosscut saw, a copy of Heinberg’s book and a year’s supply of dry milk yet?
- Worried about transportation costs from all that shopping you do? Buy a new urbanism house, close to stores!!! Then you can walk to shopping – problem solved.
- Don’t want to give up driving and flying? We’ll sell you some nice carbon offsets!!

And so on and so on – to every problem there is a purchaseable solution, available to them that can afford it. And some of it is true – living a low technology life, for example, requires some new tools, and those tools cost money. I own some of them, and I covet others, I have shelves full of books about the problem and the solutions, and I haven’t missed the irony that those books take out trees and use energy in printing. I certainly have profited in the past from people buying the vegetables I grew, and I am writing a book that will take out some more trees, so I’m not innocent here. I don’t think anyone is. But while we will always need to buy some things, the notion that we can purchase our way out of the problem keeps us from perceiving the real, root trouble we are in.

The thing about peak oil and climate change is that consumption is the problem, not the solution. Say it out loud. WHAT I BUY WARMS THE PLANET. MY SHOPPING DEPLETES WHAT FUTURE PEOPLE WILL HAVE. BUYING STUFF HURTS PEOPLE. The problem is that shopping also feels good. Now I’m not much of a regular shopper, but I know that heavy sense of pleasure you get when you wander into a bookstore as much as anyone. I’ve shopped for comfort, I’ve bought things and thought momentarily “this will make it better.” I understand how much fun shopping is. And it is still the problem.

Because it turns out that all those solutions (and we knew this if we let ourselves think about it) come with problems of their own. 5% of all global warming gasses are produced by shipping stuff around the world – that’s 1/20th of the stuff that’s killing us comes just from getting those clothes you like from overseas. And that doesn’t even count all the climate changing and oil depleting gasses produced in making the doohickey – whether an SUV or a solar panel, a stuffed polar bear (so that the kids can see what one looks like after they are extinct) or a six pack, all of them warm up the planet when they are made, when they transported, when you go shopping to get them, when you bring them home and dispose of the wrapper, and when eventually the thing ends up in the landfill emitting methane gasses. Shopping is itself the root problem, and even if you buy better products, more sustainable things – ultimately at the root, we have to buy less of them. Much, much, much less.

That means not having the right product all the time. I just did something rather embarassing. I violated my buy-nothing year to buy some (very cheap, on sale) waterproof garden shoes. I justified this by noting that I wreck a pair of sneakers every year, and if I had these shoes, I would be able to cut down on the number of sneakers I buy. And yet, that basic assumption “I must always have the specialized, right item, the perfect tool or I won’t be able to manage” is nonsense. I could take off my shoes, or wear my sneakers with more holes.

You know it. I know it. I cooked fabulous meals when I owned four pots, two knives and a whisk that my Mom and Step-Mom picked up at yardsales. I cook fabulous meals now in a kitchen stuffed with pots. Do my cast iron dutch ovens do a better job than a big old tomato can would? Almost certainly. Could I cook a good dinner for my children in an old tomato can? Yup – that’s what billions of very poor people all over the world cook in.

Would I like a James Handwasher for doing laundry – absolutely. Do I need one? Of course I don’t – I did laundry in my bathtub for years in college when I couldn’t spare the quarters for the machines, and I could do it again. Of course I would like the right tool for the job, and sometimes the right tool is worth it, but we absolutely must get over the notion that the process of preparing is the process of purchasing a totally different infrastructure.

We cannot purchase our way out of contaminated water – first of all, the bottled is often just as contaminated or more so. Second, all that does is reduce the cancer risk of those rich enough to avoid the problem – and the reality of our future is that that will be fewer and fewer of us. Not only is this unethical, but it comes back to haunt us later – what if our kids can’t afford bottled water. Will we watch them die of cancer because we were too lazy to clean up our messes, or avoid making them in the first place?

We cannot offset the carbon we keep putting into the atmosphere – among other things, we cannot use temporary solutions (like sequestering carbon in trees and soils) to substitute for permanent release of materials into the atmosphere. And more importantly, any offsetting we do must be for the carbon we have *already* released – for the future, we must radically cut what we put into the atmosphere. We can’t do that by trading, or pretending that planting some trees somewhere saves us – all we can do is not buy the stuff, not burn the carbon, not take the trip, not use the toaster.

We are told over and over that the correct way to save money is to spend it, the correct way to adapt is to buy and make new, better stuff. And sometimes that is even true. But our automatic, instinctive fantasy that *things* will save us, that our wealth can buy an escape is wrong, and it is doing us a very real harm – not just by warming the planet, but by perpetuating a false form of reason.

Sharon

My Purim-Spiel

Sharon March 2nd, 2007

We are getting ready for Purim at our house. Someone or other once pointed out that pretty much all Jewish festivals can be described as “They tried to destroy the Jewish people, they were foiled, let’s eat.” And so it is – Purim celebrates the story of Esther in the Torah, and the preservation of the Jewish people.

Esther didn’t particularly want to be a heroine. She was pleased to get to be queen, and there is no real indication in the story that she is at all displeased to have assimilated into non-Jewish culture. She conceals that she is a Jew because her uncle fears that king will not take her as a wife, but she doesn’t seem much troubled by it. Esther is first and foremost the story of acceptance by and of the dominant culture, of not making too many waves. But what seperates Esther is her refusal (and Mordechai’s) to allow her commitment to and investment in the dominant culture to shape her moral thinking.

When Haman calls for the people of Ahsauerus’s realm to murder all the Jews within it and plunder their goods, Mordechai calls upon Esther to plead with the king. Esther is understandably frightened both to reveal herself as a Jew and also to go before the king without his summoning her, since the penalty for that is death. She tells Mordechai if he tries to speak to the king, she will die. And Mordechai’s answer is decidedly un-avuncular. It is this:

“Do not imagine that you, of all the Jews, will excape with your life by being in the king’s palace. On the contrary, if yo ukeep silent in this crisis, relief and deliverance will come to the Jews from another quarter, while you and your father’s house will perish. And who knows, perhaps you have attained to your position for just such a crisis.”

Mordechai has raised Esther as a daughter, but he does not fail to speak harshly to her of her duty. And so she risks death twice, first by going to the king, and then by asking that he spare his queen and her people. And, of course (or we would not be celebrating) he does. Esther ends up right at the end, of course, but she does so by recognizing that if she came to power in the dominant culture, it does not absolve her of moral responsibility, but heightens her obligation.

Peter Parker said it too, “With great power comes great responsibility.” The thing is, I think most of us have no idea how powerful we are, and thus, how responsible we are. Virtually all Americans command power and wealth unimaginable to most of the people in the world. We have, as James Kunstler has pointed out, the equivalent of 200 slaves working for us – but instead of human slaves, we have energy slaves that wash our clothes, wash our dishes, make the clothes, carry us about. Virtually all Americans are wealthier than 90% of the world’s population. Most of us have more education – even if we graduated only from highschool – than a majority of the world’s population. It doesn’t feel that way, when you are in debt and struggling economically, but most middle-class Americans are richer and more priveleged than Kings in most of history.

Because we do not see ourselves as powerful and rich – we view ourselves mostly in comparison to our neighbors who are similarly powerful and rich, and we are all caught up (me too) in our struggles, we do not tend to think that *we* are the people who have great responsibility in the world. Other people are powerful, not us. Other people can change things, not us. We are merely getting along, we do not have time, we do not have energy, we do not have money enough to spare.

But if we do not, who on earth has the time and the money, the energy and the power to change the world? Who will you ask to do it for you? Someone poorer and weaker and less priveleged? Someone who has had less good fortune? In many cases they *are* doing that work – all over the world, the poor have spoken up about climate change and world trade, land reform and sustainability. I have read analyses of global warming and the WTO written by 12 year olds from Nicaraugua and India that put the writing of professional adults to shame. The world is full of people who work harder than you and I, who have harder lives, fewer electronic slaves, and whose very lives are set at stake by the changes in our world, and who still have time to stand up and speak out. I have written this elsewhere, but I repeat it, and will keep repeating it as long as necessary: almost all that is good in human history over the last three centuries is that oppressed and frightened, impoverished and angry people have stood up to those that did them harm, that mortgaged their future and endangered their lives and said “No More.” Overwhelmingly, they succeeded in winning, despite lack of things you and I have plentifully – power, money, education, comfort. Our own national history includes, along with its dark side, a remarkable and courageous tradition of not counting the cost to do what is right. And every single person who has ever stood up in resistance has been less well educated, less wealthy, less priveleged, less safe, less comfortable than you and I are today. How is it that we keep finding reasons to do less than they. If we do so, that is our shame.

Most of us are not living up to our moral responsibilities, or using our privelege and wealth to create justice. We, like Esther, are afraid, although our stakes aren’t as high as hers. We are afraid we will lose our comfort, some of our wealth and our privelege. The thought that we might have to give up all the things we are accustomed to and change to something entirely new is frightening. So mostly, we are a silent.

But Mordechai’s words “Perhaps you have attained your position for just such a crisis,” should speak to us all. Whether you believe in G-d or good fortune, the randomness of everything or some sort of intentionality, perhaps if we are very lucky, it is because we are supposed to, or perhaps simply morally obligated to, use what power we have transformatively. Perhaps we are meant to lead, no matter how little we like the work, how frightened we are of the consequences, or how comfortable we are ensconced in the dominant culture.

We are like Esther. We are afraid of what it would mean to reveal ourselves, to stand forth from the culture and demand that it change. We are comfortable in our palaces, and happy with our embroidered robes. And we, like Esther, are tempted only to act if we can forsee happy consequences for ourselves. But as Mordechai rightly points out, sometimes what happens to us isn’t really the point – sometimes what matters is that we, in our power, have done, as they say, the right thing, without counting the cost to ourselves. It takes courage. And that is not in over-great supply. But I suspect there is more of it out there than we like to admit, even to ourselves.

Chag Sameach!

Sharon

For the Peak Oil Skeptics Out There

Sharon March 1st, 2007

You might want to take a look at this:

http://www.platts.com/Oil/News/6360268.xml?p=Oil/News&sub=Oil&src=energybulletin

It looks like a GAO (government accounting office) report is going to say that the majority of the oil experts in the US believe not just that peak oil is a reality, but we’re there now – that back in May of 2005, we reached what is probably the highest production levels of oil we will ever have, and prices will continue to rise and availability will continue to drop.

This is important news – an independent congressional research office has documented that a. the oil industry is being intentionally opaque and b. that there is good reason to believe that we have crossed the peak threshold.

That does not mean that we’ll run out of oil – but it does mean that the conflict between rising world demand and reduced availability will be a real and troubling one.

Sharon

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